Associated
Costs Panel Report
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Contents on this Page:
- Summary of Panel Recommendations
- Introduction
- Purpose of Panel
- Conceptual Approach
- Identification
of Core Services
- Identification
of Variables
- Completing the
Templates
- Panel Recommendations
- Issues for Discussion
- Subgroup Reports
and Recommendations
- Geographic Variables
Workgroup
- Clinical Variables
Workgroup
- Demographic Variables
Workgroup
- Wage and Rent Indices
for Titles I and II Grantees
- History of the Panel
Views expressed are those of the
panel participants and do not represent
official positions of the Federal Government
I. Summary of Panel Reports
The Associated Cost panel recommended
including three variables in the severity
of need index at this point in time. The
recommended variables include:
- Geographic wage index
- Geographic non-labor price index
- Substance abuse (IDU exposure category)
The geographic wage and the non-labor
price indices are intended to compensate
for regional variation in the cost of
labor and facilities. The substance abuse
risk category variable is intended to
serve as a proxy for the incrementally
higher costs of treating HIV infected
individuals who are also substance abusers.
The panel believed that the substance
abuse exposure category is correlated
with the prevalence of Hepatitis C among
the HIV infected community and, thus,
helps capture the costs of that comorbid
condition as well. The panel agreed that
these three variables are significant
and independent determinants of per capita
costs and can be appropriately measured
with currently and publicly available
data. (1)
Several other important variables were
considered but were not recommended for
inclusion in the severity of need index
at this time. These variables were not
recommended for inclusion on the basis
that they were: (1) correlated with one
the variables recommended for inclusion,
(2) did not yet have a sufficient impact
on per capita costs, or (3) could not
yet be appropriately measured by the publicly
available data. Variables considered but
not recommended for inclusion at this
point include:
- HIV disease stage*
- Health insurance premiums*
- Hepatitis C*
- Diabetes*
- Cardiovascular disease*
- Poverty*
- Race/ethnicity*
- Gender*
- Age*
The panel instead recommended that HRSA
continue to monitor the cost associated
with these variables. The panel also recommended
that HRSA continue to address the limitations
of available data surrounding some of
the most important of these currently
excluded variables (i.e., HIV disease
stage) can be incorporate in the severity
of need index in the future. Variables
that the Associated Cost panel recommended
for possible future inclusion in the severity
of need index are indicated with an ‘*’
in the above list.
Of special note is the recommendation
not to include HIV disease stage at this
time. The panel agreed that disease progression
was one of the most important determinants
of per capita costs of HIV primary care.
But currently available surveillance data
from the CDC are not able to capture the
significant improvement in CD4 count that
may occur following the introduction of
antiretroviral (ARV) therapies. Nor are
the surveillance data able to measure
the prevalence of CD4<50, which the
panel members also thought was a strong
predictor of costs. AIDS diagnosis and
CD4 count at the time of initial diagnosis
was considered by most panel members to
be insufficient for measuring actual resource
needs, particularly with the availability
of ARVs. Furthermore, data from the HIVRN
survey indicate that the incremental costs
associated with disease progression (i.e.,
CD4<50) were attributable largely to
an increase in the use of inpatient services,
which not covered under the CARE Act.
Most panel members also believed that
ARV use, independent from CD4 count, may
be a more important cost driver than actual
disease progression. But data to measure
state and local area variation in ARV
rates do not exist. In sum, the majority
of the panel members agreed that an estimate
of the incidence of AIDS or CD4<50
was not a good proxy for the prevalence
of these disease stage markers. It should
be noted that several panel members disagreed
with this decision and argued that CD4
count at the time of initial diagnosis
(or AIDS diagnosis) based on CDC surveillance
data is in fact an appropriate proxy for
measuring HIV disease stage and should
be included in the severity of need index.
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II. Introduction
A. Purpose of Panel
The Associated Cost panel had two primary
responsibilities. First, it was responsible
for developing a set of geographic price
indices for labor and non-labor inputs
for the delivery of HIV primary care services
funded under Titles I and II. Second,
it was responsible for developing and
assigning cost weights to a group of patient
attributes considered to be important
and independent determinants of the cost
of care under Titles I and II.
To accomplish these goals, the panel
members identified and conducted three
sequential tasks. The three major tasks
performed by the panel members were as
follows:
- First, the panel identified a set
of core services funded under Titles
I and II. The purpose of this task was
to identify a limited set of the most
important services for which cost drivers
could be determined. The criteria for
selecting core services included: (1)
having a demonstrated impact on care,
(2) having a demonstrated impact on
costs; (3) accounting for a significant
share of total Title I and II funds,
and (4) exhibiting geographic cost variability.
- Second, the panel identified an initial
set of variables that were thought to
be important determinants of per capita
program costs associated with the delivery
of core services under Titles I and
II. The purpose of this task was to
ensure that the panel considered a comprehensive
set of cost drivers prior to assessing
their validity, feasibility, and interdependence.
- Third, the panel completed a template
for each variable, summarizing: (1)
the rationale for including it in a
severity of need index; (2) the sources
of data for measuring the variable;
(3) its level of aggregation, frequency
of update, and availability for use
as part of the index; and (4) its reliability,
validity, and bias from measurement
error. The purpose of this task was
to evaluate the value of each variable
and to develop a final set of recommendations
for inclusion in the severity of need
index.
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B. Conceptual Approach
The panel decided early in the process
that its responsibility was not to derive
a standardized national per capita cost
amount that could then be scaled upward
or downward by a set of indices representing
local cost variability. The panel agreed
that any average standardized amount should
ultimately be determined by the level
of appropriated funds for Titles I and
II per client served. The panel instead
focused its attention on measuring the
incremental costs associated with selected
inputs (such as the price of labor and
facilities) and patient characteristics
(such as disease progression and comorbidities).
For example, the panel agreed that grantees
operating in high wage markets should
receive more per capita funding than grantees
in low wage markets. Similarly, the panel
believed that Title I and II grantees
serving a disproportionate share of patients
with comorbid conditions or on antiretroviral
therapies should receive more per capita
funding than those serving less sick patients.
The incremental costs associated with
inputs would be measured and applied at
the state or EMA level based on regional
wage and rent data. The incremental costs
of patient characteristics would be measured
nationally and applied at the state or
EMA level, weighted by regional prevalence
rates.
The panel also believed that it should
focus on “incurred” costs
rather than building in policy-driven
incentives for target populations, health
professional shortage areas or other capacity
constraints, quality of care, new treatment
protocols, or optimal staffing patterns.
The panel decided that rewarding grantees
for quality (by allocating more funds
on a per capita basis to high quality
providers than to lower quality providers)
or using the severity of need index to
promote certain standards of care (by
allocating more funds to grantees meeting
recommended treatment protocols) went
beyond the purpose of the severity of
need index. The panel further agreed that
measuring quality and incorporating it
into a severity of need index would be
an extremely difficult task to accomplish.
However, it was commonly accepted among
panel members that any needs-based funding
allocation system should not penalize
high quality care. For example, a grantee
that succeeds in lowering the rate of
AIDS progression or the incidence of comorbid
conditions (and thereby avoiding the higher
costs associated with AIDS or comorbid
diseases) should not be penalized by receiving
fewer CARE Act dollars on a per capita
basis.
Finally, the panel agreed that, if the
incremental costs of a given variable
affected only a subset of the core services
discussed above, then those incremental
costs should be weighted by the share
of total Title I and II funding allocated
to that core service. For example, if
disease progression were associated only
with the introduction of ARV therapies,
then the incremental cost of an AIDS diagnosis
would be weighted by the share of total
funding allocated to prescription medications.
Weighting incremental costs by the share
of funding allocated to affected services
ensures that the impact of that variable
on total costs is accurately captured.
The panel members agreed that the Associated
Cost panel was responsible for deriving
both the incremental costs and the service
weights. But it was assumed that the prevalence
rates for the patient attributes would
be provided by the Patient Characteristics
panel.
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C. Identification of Core Services
As stated earlier, the first step for
the Associated Cost panel was to identify
a set of core services. The panel members
acknowledged that, to identify costs,
first it was essential to agree on the
set of services that should be included.
Further, the panel members believed that
understanding the services that account
for the majority of Title I and II funds
would be useful for identifying the kinds
of factors that ought to go into a severity
of need index. For example, regional variation
in the prevalence of injection drug users
(IDUs) is germane in part because payment
for substance abuse services constitutes
a relatively important proportion of Title
I and II funds. Further, including substance
abuse services in the core set of services
highlights the importance of factoring
in regional differences in the wages of
substance abuse counselors.
The four criteria used for selecting
the core services are listed below. Services
that satisfied several (though not necessarily
all) of these criteria were considered
for inclusion in the core set.
- Share of Title I and II Funding.
Core services had to be covered under
Titles I or II. Largely non-covered
services (e.g., inpatient care) were
not included.
- Impact on Costs.
Core services had to have a significant
impact on total costs, as measured by
their share of total allocations. Services
that account for a very small share
of total CARE Act spending (e.g., outpatient
rehabilitation services) were not included.
- Impact on Care.
Core services had to have a significant
impact on the quality of care and health
outcomes for the average client.
- Variability in Costs.
Core services had to exhibit significant
variation in unit costs across grantees.
A service that may not have a significant
impact on costs or quality may have
average costs that vary tremendously
between regions. Panelists therefore
decided that it should be included,
even though it is not one of the major
drivers of costs.
The recommended list of core services,
along with their proportions of FY2004
Title I funding and their ranking by criteria,
is presented in Table 1. The list includes
six medical services (ambulatory/outpatient
medical care, specialty care, pharmaceuticals,
substance abuse services, mental health
services, and oral health care).(2)
In addition, the list includes three social
support services (housing assistance and
services, transportation services, and
food assistance). Finally, core services
include case management services, which
can be either medical or psychosocial
case management. The medical services
combined account for nearly half (48%)
of total Title I and II funding. The social
support services account for an additional
13% of total funding, and case management
represents slightly over 10% of total
funding.
Table 1: List of core services included
in assessment of costs
Medical
Services |
Type of Service |
% Title I Allocation* |
Impact on Costs |
Impact on Care |
Cost Variability |
Priority Ranking |
Ambulatory/outpatient
medical care
|
23.5 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Specialty care
(e.g., dermatology, radiology) |
|
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Drug assistance
or medication programs |
10.1 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
Substance abuse
services–outpatient |
6.7 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
Mental health
services |
5.1 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
Oral health
care |
3.0 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
Support
Services |
Type of Service |
% Title I Allocation* |
Impact on Costs |
Impact on Care |
Cost Variability |
Priority Ranking |
Housing assistance
and services
|
6.1 |
|
|
|
|
Transportation
services |
2.4 |
|
|
|
|
Food bank/home-delivered
meals |
4.4 |
|
|
|
|
Case
Management |
Type of Service |
% Title I Allocation* |
Impact on Costs |
Impact on Care |
Cost Variability |
Priority Ranking |
Case management
services |
10.90 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
NOTES:
* Title I allocations based on FY2004
expenditures as reported by HAB.
KEY: 1=high importance, 2=moderate importance,
3=low importance
Not surprisingly, ambulatory/outpatient
primary medical care constitutes nearly
one-quarter (24%) of total Title I and
II funding. The panelists agreed that
primary medical care has an important
impact on both cost and quality and exhibits
significant variation in per capita spending
across grantees. Drug assistance (over
and above ADAP expenditures) also accounts
for a significant share of total Title
I and II allocations (10%) and has an
important impact on cost and quality.
But panel members agreed that, because
grantees face a national drug market and
have access to the national 340b drug
pricing program, unit drug costs should
not vary substantially by state or EMA.
In slight contrast, oral health accounts
for only 3% of total spending and has
a moderate impact on cost and quality.
The unit cost of oral health was also
assumed by the panel members to exhibit
relatively less variation than medical
care. Nonetheless, the panel members concurred
that these 10 core services represent
the majority of Title I and II spending,
are critical components of the HIV primary
care delivery system, and exhibit sufficient
variation in unit costs to warrant inclusion
in the severity of need index.
The panel considered several other services
important to the HIV primary care delivery
system but decided that these services
either did not have a major impact on
costs or did not demonstrate sufficient
variation between grantees to warrant
inclusion. Two important examples include
outreach, retention, and adherence programs,
and testing and counseling programs. Both
of these services are critical components
of the primary health care system for
people living with HIV and AIDS. But first,
at this point they constitute a relatively
small proportion of total Title I and
II funding, and second, the cost of these
services does not vary significantly across
regions. Variations in labor costs for
these services are likely to be correlated
with the variation in wages for other,
more fundamental labor categories such
as physicians and nurses. However, the
panel members agreed that, because the
core set of services may change over time,
HRSA should periodically re-evaluate all
services covered under the CARE Act using
these criteria. The panel also agreed
to exclude the cost of administrative
activities and those associated with data
collection and reporting requirements
from HRSA.
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D. Identification of Variables
The second step was to identify the important
determinants of cost variation for these
core services. The panel identified three
types of variables for consideration.
The three broad categories identified
and considered by the panel, and the individual
variables within each category, were:
- Variables based on geographic cost
differences
- Labor
- Non-labor inputs such as rent
and facilities
- Health insurance premium
- Variables based on patient clinical
characteristics
- HIV disease stage
- Hepatitis C
- Substance abuse (IDU exposure
category)
- Diabetes
- Cardiovascular disease
- Variables based on patient sociodemographic
characteristics
- Race/ethnicity
- Gender
- Age
- Poverty
The first set of variables captures the
impact of geographic variation in wage
rates, non-labor input prices, and health
insurance premiums on pre capita grantee
costs. Labor accounts for the major share
of total grantee expenditures and represents
an important external source of variation
in per capita spending that, the panel
agreed, should be included in the severity
of need index. The panel also agreed that
building and facility costs vary by region
and, thus, should also be considered in
the severity of need index. Similarly,
several states use a proportion of their
ADAP funds to cover the cost of health
insurance with prescription medication
coverage. Since the cost of health insurance
also varies by region and state based
on non-actuarial factors (which would
be captured under the patient case mix
variables), the panel agreed that health
insurance premiums represent another important
external source of per capita spending
that should be considered for inclusion
in the severity of need index. The ADAP
Health Insurance Purchasing and Maintenance
Program (HIP) is also a cost-saving initiative.
Per capita ADAP expenditures in states
with a HIP program are likely to be lower
than in states without a HIP program,
a cost differential that panelists believed
should be considered in the severity of
need index.
The second and third sets of variables
measure the impact of patient characteristics
on per capita expenditures among Title
I and II grantees. The panel agreed that
HIV disease progression and Hepatitis
C are highly correlated with per capita
expenditures: clients with low CD4 counts
(generally less than 50) or a diagnosis
of Hepatitis C have higher costs of care
than those without such conditions. However,
since CD4 counts can change over time
after initial testing in ways that are
not captured in the current data, the
panel concurred that the prevalence of
clients on antiretroviral (ARV) therapies
was a more accurate indicator of costs.
The IDU exposure category is an indirect
measure of substance abuse, which was
also considered an important and positive
correlate with per capita spending. The
panel members agreed that diabetes and
cardiovascular disease were also important
correlates with HIV infection, both as
sequelae of HIV infection as well as age-related
comorbidities among an aging HIV population.
Finally, the panel agreed it was important
to consider such sociodemographic characteristics
as age, gender, race/ethnicity, and poverty.
Certain age, sex, and race/ethnicity subgroups
may have higher or lower resource needs
than others, based in part on their access
to health care services and their underlying
health care needs. Poverty was considered
an indicator of both resource needs and
access to care. The panelists agreed that
low-income people are less likely to be
insured and, thus, less likely to seek
and remain in ongoing care. While the
short-term costs of low-income and disadvantaged
populations may be lower, delays in seeking
care initially and lack of continuity
and adherence once in care lead to higher
per capita expenditures over time. The
inclusion of the poverty variable is based
on the need of the poor who have HIV for
CARE Act support once they seek care.
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E. Completing the
Templates
After identifying the variables to be
considered, the Associated Cost panel
then divided itself into three workgroups
to discuss and evaluate the variables
in each of the three categories in greater
depth. Each workgroup was responsible
for completing a template for each variable
in its category. The purpose of the template
was to define the variable; identify the
rationale for its inclusion; identify
the potential sources of data for measuring
the variable; assess the validity, reliability
and potential bias of each variable; and
suggest ways to address any underlying
bias. Based on the results of the small
group discussions, each workgroup then
forwarded to the larger panel a list of
recommended variables to be included in
the severity of need index. The full members
of the Associated Cost panel then discussed
the small group recommendations and identified
the variables to be included in the panel’s
final recommendation to the larger severity
of need expert panel.
A description of the variables, the potential
sources of data, and the final recommendation
from the Associated Cost panel are summarized
in Table 2. Most variables require data
on both the incremental costs and the
prevalence of the variable. Incremental
costs are usually measured at the national
level and prevalence rates are measured
at the EMA or state level. (A more complete
discussion of the variables, sources of
data, and panel recommendations are presented
in Section II.)
Table 2: Description of variables, sources
of data, and panel recommendations
Geographic
Variables |
Variable |
Description |
Data Sources |
Labor
|
Geographic
wage index for health care professionals
|
Bureau of Labor Statistics,
Occupational Employment Statistics
Survey, 2004. Provides costs by state
and MSA. |
Non-labor
inputs |
Geographic index
for rent and facilities |
Practice expense component of Medicare
Geographic Practice Cost Index or
HUD Fair Market Rent Index, 2004.
Provides costs by state and MSA. |
Health
insurance premium |
Per capita expenditures
for health insurance under ADAP |
ADAP Health Insurance Program, 2004.
Provides costs by state. |
Clinical
Variables |
Variable |
Description |
Data Sources |
HIV
disease stage
|
CD4 count
|
HIV Research Network (HIVRN) Survey
for incremental costs of AIDS nationally.
CDC surveillance data for AIDS prevalence
based on initial diagnosis (HARS)
by state and EMA |
Hepatitis
C |
Hepatitis C diagnosis |
Medicaid claims for fee-for-service
population from Medicaid Analytic
eXtract (MAX) 2001, all States. Provides
cost and prevalence by state and EMA. |
Substance
abuse |
IDU exposure category |
HIV Research Network Survey for
incremental costs of IDU. CDC surveillance
data for IDU prevalence among those
diagnosed with HIV. Provides cost
and prevalence by state and EMA. |
Diabetes |
Diabetes diagnosis |
Medicaid claims for fee-for-service
population from Medicaid Analytic
eXtract (MAX) 2001, all States. Provides
cost and prevalence by state and EMA. |
CVD |
Diagnosis of cardiovascular
disease |
Medicaid claims for fee-for-service
population from Medicaid Analytic
eXtract (MAX) 2001, all States. Provides
cost and prevalence by state and EMA. |
Sociodemographic
Variables |
Variable |
Description |
Data Sources |
Age
|
Age categories
|
Medicaid claims for fee-for-service
population from Medicaid Analytic
eXtract (MAX) 2001, all States or
HIV Research Network Survey. MAX provides
cost and prevalence by state and EMA.
HIVRN provides costs nationally. |
Sex |
Gender categories |
Medicaid claims for fee-for-service
population from Medicaid Analytic
eXtract (MAX) 2001, all States or
HIV Research Network Survey. MAX provides
cost and prevalence by state and EMA.
HIVRN provides costs nationally. |
Race/ethnicity |
Race/ethnicity categories |
Medicaid claims for fee-for-service
population from Medicaid Analytic
eXtract (MAX) 2001, all States or
HIV Research Network Survey. MAX provides
cost and prevalence by state and EMA.
HIVRN provides costs nationally. |
Poverty |
Federal poverty
level |
US decennial census data. Provides
prevalence by state and EMA. Cost
data not available. |
The main sources of data for the cost
variables are the HIV Research Network
and Medicaid claims data. The HIV Research
Network (HIVRN) survey collects annual
clinical and health resource utilization
data for about 15,000 patients a year
across 17 non-representative sites across
the country; data have been collected
for some 38,000 unique patients over a
5-year period. Data elements are individual-level
and include inpatient and outpatient utilization,
prescribed medications, some substance
abuse and mental health visits, and other
information. The Network also conducted
a client interview (sample size = 951)
to collect information on additional services
and services received at other sites.
Costs were assigned to the reported utilization
rates for each service category based
on HCSUS estimates trended forward. The
survey was conducted with a stratified
random sample of those in care at 14 institutions
receiving IRB approval. The sample included
those with public, private, and no insurance.
The Medicaid claims are obtained from
the Medicaid Analytic eXtract (MAX) files.
The MAX files are a standardized Medicaid
claims database containing fee-for-service
claims from all 50 states and the District
of Columbia and are available from the
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services
(CMS). The MAX database includes an enrollment
file with demographic characteristics
and dates of enrollment and a set of claims
for inpatient, outpatient, prescription
drug, and long-term care services. The
MAX suffers from several weaknesses. First,
there is a serious lag between the date
of service and the availability of the
MAX database. The most currently available
MAX file is for services rendered in CY2001.
Second, the MAX database contains only
claims paid under Medicaid fee-for-service;
encounter data for enrollees covered under
Medicaid managed care plans are not included.
Third, the Medicaid population may not
be representative of the CARE Act population.
Fourth, the MAX database contains only
claims for Medicaid-covered services;
the costs of services not covered under
Medicaid are not included. Other sources
of data include the Bureau of Labor Statistics’
Occupational Employment Statistical Survey
(OESS), the Medicare Geographic Practice
Cost Index (GPCI), and the Department
of Housing and Urban Development’s
Fair Market Rent (FMR).
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F. Panel Recommendations
After completion of the variable templates
and a thorough discussion by the full
panel members, the Associated Cost panel
agreed to recommend only three variables
for inclusion in the severity of need
index at this point. The variables recommended
for inclusion are:
- Geographic wage index
- Geographic non-labor price index
- Substance abuse (IDU risk factor)
These three variables were considered
to be major and independent determinants
of per capita costs. The panel also agreed
that the existing data for measuring these
variables also supported their inclusion.
Several variables, such as disease progression
and health insurance premiums, were also
considered very important and independent
determinants of severity of need, but
the majority of the panel members argued
that the data necessary for capturing
their true impact on costs do not yet
exist. (See Section II for a more complete
discussion of the rationale for not including
selected variables in the initial severity
of need index.) Hepatitis C was considered
important, but the panel members felt
it was closely correlated with variables
already included in the model (especially
the substance abuse exposure category)
and, thus, should not be included as a
separate indicator. In contrast, age-related
comorbidities were considered important
and independent but do not yet have a
sufficient impact on costs (and also lack
appropriate data to measure) to warrant
inclusion. Thus, they should be considered
in the future as the infected population
continues to age and the prevalence of
these diseases increases, and better data
for measuring the impact of age and age-related
comorbidities become available. The panel
also agreed that the inability to differentiate
the impact of age-related comorbidities
on HIV-related service use further complicates
the issue. The panelists agreed that CARE
Act funds should only be used to cover
the cost of comorbidities as they affect
HIV-related care. Panel members also agreed
that impact of gender on the cost of HIV
care is difficult to ascertain with currently
available data. While women have higher
costs of medical care than men in general
(because of ob/gyn-related care and a
greater propensity to seek care), studies
have not yet been able to demonstrate
that they have higher HIV-related costs.
Finally, the panelists agreed that poverty
was a better measure of access and service
use than race/ethnicity, but patient-level
data on income do not yet exist.(3)
The panel recommended that HAB continue
to monitor the impact of HIV disease progression,
age and age-related comorbidities, poverty
and gender on the resource needs and continue
to address the data limitations that hinder
their inclusion in the severity of need
index at this time.
A summary of the significance of each
variable for capturing the variation in
local resource needs, as well as the availability
of appropriate data that can be used to
measure each indicator at this time are
presented in Table 3. The availability
of data includes both cost estimates and
prevalence estimates. The panel agreed
that all three geographic variables had
a moderately significant impact on per
capita cost variation among Title I and
II providers, but only labor and non-labor
input prices had data that supported their
inclusion at this time. The non-age-related
clinical variables were considered to
have a high significance on per capita
cost variation, but the panel believed
that only the substance abuse variable
could be measured in an appropriate manner
to justify its inclusion at this time.
HIV disease stage was considered extremely
important to severity of need, but neither
the prevalence of CD4<50 or of ARV
use could yet be measured in a way to
warrant inclusion. The age-related comorbid
conditions were considered to have a low
impact on cost variation at this point
in time, but could be measured with currently
available data with some degree of accuracy
with Medicaid or Medicare claims once
the prevalence of these diseases increases
among the infected population. The panel
agreed that age and gender could not be
measured with current data. While age
is likely to have a significant impact
on HIV costs in the future, the impact
of gender on HIV-related costs is difficult
to ascertain with currently available
data. Neither age nor gender should be
included until better data become available
and a demonstrated and generalizable impact
on HIV-related costs of care can be measured.
Race/ethnicity had a potentially more
significant impact on costs, but the reasons
for including the variable in a severity
of need index (i.e., inferior access to
care and the additional costs associated
with recruitment and retention of hard-to-reach
populations) were more accurately captured
through the poverty variable. Unfortunately,
state and local prevalence estimates of
poverty among those with HIV infection
are not available.
Table 3: Significance and Availability
of Data for Measuring Variables
Geographic
Variables |
Variable |
Significance |
Data |
Include |
Labor
|
High |
Good |
Yes |
Non-labor inputs |
Moderate |
Good |
Yes |
Health insurance
premium |
Moderate |
Fair |
No |
Clinical
Variables |
Variable |
Significance |
Data |
Include |
HIV disease
stage
|
High |
Fair |
No |
Hepatitis C |
High |
Fair |
No |
Substance abuse
(IDU risk factor) |
High |
Good |
Yes |
Diabetes |
Moderate |
Fair |
No |
CVD |
Moderate |
Fair |
No |
Sociodemographic
Variables |
Variable |
Significance |
Data |
Include |
Age |
Moderate |
Poor |
No |
Sex |
Unknown |
Poor |
No |
Race/ethnicity |
Moderate |
Fair |
No |
Poverty |
High |
Fair |
No |
Table 4 presents the panel’s primary
reasons for recommending the inclusion
or exclusion of each variable at this
point in time. Those variables characterized
by a good rationale and supported by adequate
data have been recommended for inclusion.
Those variables characterized by a good
rationale but not supported by adequate
data have been recommended for exclusion
at this point in time only, but are accompanied
by a recommendation that HAB continue
to monitor their impact on costs and to
address the data limitations that preclude
their current inclusion. Those variables
that are characterized by a weak rationale
are recommended for exclusion from the
severity of need index more generally.
As the table makes clear, there are many
variables that the Associated Cost panel
viewed as important determinants of per
capita costs, but could not recommend
for inclusion at this point in time solely
because of the inadequacy of the available
data.
Table 4: Variables considered and forwarded
for possible inclusion in the SON index
by the Associated Costs Panel
| |
Variables
Forwarded for Further Consideration
for Use in an SON Index |
Variables
Excluded Due to Insufficient Data |
Variables
Excluded Due to Insufficient Rationale
for Inclusion |
Geographic Variables
|
• Labor • Non-labor
inputs |
• Health insurance premium |
|
| Clinical Variables |
• Substance abuse (IDU risk
factor) |
• HIV disease stage
• Hepatitis C
• Diabetes
• Cardiovascular disease |
|
| Sociodemographic
Variables |
|
• Poverty • Age
• Gender
|
• Race/ethnicity |
^
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G. Issues for Discussion
As stated above, the panel recommended
inclusion of only three cost-related variables
at this time: two for capturing geographic
differences in input prices and one for
the incremental costs associated with
the substance abusing population. The
panel agreed that several other variables
were important determinants of per capita
costs but decided that additional information
was required before they could be measured
in an accurate and meaningful way for
the severity of need index. Some of the
limitations of the variables not included
in the panel’s recommendations,
as well as several remaining issues that
need to be considered in the development
of a severity of need index, are discussed
below.
HIV disease progression. The
panel agreed that HIV disease progression
is one of the most important determinants
of per capita cost variation. However,
the panel acknowledged that both AIDS
diagnosis and CD4 counts, with treatment,
could improve over time such that even
AIDS patients could have a CD4 count above
200. In fact, the state and local prevalence
estimates of a CD4 count of less than
50 (found to be a highly significant predictor
of per capita costs in the HIVRN survey)
are currently not available. The panel
also noted that the HIVRN survey data
show that most of the incremental costs
associated with a low CD4 count are incurred
in the inpatient setting and the CARE
Act does not cover the cost of inpatient
care. The panel concurred that the true
cost-driver associated with disease progression
was not AIDS diagnosis or CD4 count, but
rather whether an individual was receiving
ARV therapies. Clients on ARV drugs, independent
of their diagnosis or CD4 counts, are
more expensive to care for than those
not on ARV medications. Further, the incremental
costs associated with ARV use are likely
be incurred on an outpatient basis and
thus eligible for CARE Act funding.
The panel then determined that there
is no consistent and current information
on ARV prevalence at the state or local
level. The rate of ARV use from the annual
CARE Act Data Reports (CADRs) is duplicated
and inconsistently reported among CARE
Act providers. One panel member pointed
out that ADAP reports submitted annually
by each Title II grantee may be useful
for estimating ARV rates at the state
level. Others argued that CDC surveillance
data on AIDS as a percent of new HIV cases
may be a sufficient indicator of the relative
burden of people who are in need of ARVs,
especially given current standards of
when to start prescription drug therapy.
However, after much discussion, the panel
decided that indicators of HIV disease
progression should not be included in
the severity of need index until consistent
and unduplicated state-level prevalence
estimates of either CD4<50 or ARV use
are available.
A minority of panelists disagreed with
this decision and advocated using AIDS
incidence as reported by the CDC as a
proxy for HIV disease progression. However,
one concern with this recommendation is
that the CDC surveillance data are not
yet mature enough across all states to
identify unduplicated cases of newly diagnosed
AIDS. Using surveillance data to measure
AIDS incidence is likely to result in
an undercounting of true cases in states
with an immature data reporting system
and, thus, an under funding of those Title
I and II grantees.
Age-related comorbidities.
The panel agreed that age-related comorbidities
of HIV infection will become an increasingly
important component of the total cost
of care as the infected population continues
to age. Particularly important are cardiovascular
disease (CVD) and diabetes, both of which
can become complicated to treat because
of the HIV virus. Nonetheless, the panel
decided that the incremental costs of
age-related comorbidities were not yet
sufficiently large to warrant their inclusion
in the severity of need index. The panel
recommended that HRSA continue to monitor
the cost of these comorbidities and consider
including them in the severity of need
index in the future.
Demographic characteristics.
The panel also decided that while
health care costs are likely to be positively
correlated with age and being female,
the incremental costs of HIV care associated
with these demographic subgroups may not
be sufficiently large to warrant inclusion
in the severity of need index. This conclusion
was supported by the results of the HIVRN
survey, which showed no statistically
significant association between costs
and age or gender. Again, the panel agreed
that HRSA should continue monitoring the
impact of age and gender on HIV care costs
and consider including them in the future
if the evidence suggests they are important
and independent determinants. The panel
expressed less consensus on race/ethnicity.
Several members argued that racial and
ethnic minorities have higher long-term
costs of care because they are more likely
to enter care later in their disease progression,
are less likely to remain in care on a
consistent basis once they initially seek
care, and are less likely to remain adherent
to treatment protocols. As a result of
inadequacy of care, they have poorer health
status and greater health care needs in
the long run. Providers also incur additional
costs identifying HIV infected people
and conducting outreach, retention and
adherence programs among communities of
color. However, the panel agreed that
the underlying rationale for including
race/ethnicity in the severity of need
index is better captured by poverty.
Socioeconomc characteristics.
Again, the panel identified two reasons
for considering poverty. The first reason
had to do with measuring the burden on
care by low income subpopulations eligible
for CARE Act services. Some regions serve
a disproportionately lower income subpopulation
than others and should be appropriately
compensated for this additional burden.
However, the group agreed that this reason
is unrelated to costs per case and, thus,
not appropriate for the Associated Cost
Panel. Rather, the panelists agreed that
issues related to burden associated with
poverty are better handled by the Area
Characteristics Panel. The second reason
for including poverty is the extent to
which low income people are inherently
more costly to serve than those in higher
income groups. Costs may be higher for
low income populations for several reasons,
including the costs of program activities
related to identification, outreach and
retention in care, as well as the higher
treatment costs associated with delays
in seeking care and lack of continuity
in care or adherence to treatment. The
panel agreed that these incremental costs
are probably not sufficient (relative
to overall treatment costs) to warrant
inclusion in the SON index at this time.
The panel also agreed that it would be
difficult to obtain data on the costs
and incidence related to timing of initial
treatment and lack of continuity and adherence.
Nor are there good estimates of the incremental
costs of HIV care for people with incomes
below the federal poverty level. Thus,
the Associated Cost panel decided to defer
a decision on poverty until better data
are available.
Drug prices. In addition
to labor and non-labor inputs, the panel
also considered geographic variation in
drug prices. The panel acknowledged that
prescription medications account for a
major and growing share of total CARE
Act spending, and thus, even minor variations
in drug prices could have an important
impact on total spending. The panel members
also reported that CARE Act grantees differ
in their ability to obtain negotiated
discounts from drug companies. However,
after further consideration, the panel
agreed that regardless of their ability
to negotiate drug price discounts, all
states have access to the same level of
discounts under Section 340B of the Public
Health Service Act of 1992. The 340B drug
pricing discount program requires pharmaceutical
manufacturers participating in the Medicaid
program to provide front-end discounts
on covered outpatient drugs purchased
by ‘covered entities.’ State-operated
AIDS Drug Assistance Programs and the
Ryan White CARE Act Title I, Title II,
and Title III programs qualified as covered
entities. Because of states’ eligibility
to participate in the 340B drug pricing
program, the panel decided that grantees
should not be compensated for any observed
differences in drug prices.
ADAP health insurance purchasing
and maintenance program. One
panel member noted that under the CARE
Act Health Insurance Purchasing and Maintenance
Program (HIP), 26 states use a portion
of their ADAP funds to underwrite the
cost of health insurance for eligible
enrollees that includes prescription medications.
The panel believed that the per-enrollee
cost of the HIP program could vary for
reasons other than client case mix, such
as health insurance regulations, market
competition, and coverage policies. For
this reason, the panelists agreed that
the geographic variation in the per-enrollee
costs of the program (or the ‘premium’)
is a legitimate factor to consider in
the severity of need index. The panel
also agreed that, because the HIP program
is intended to be cost-saving, per enrollee
costs under ADAP are likely to be lower
in states with a health insurance purchasing/maintenance
initiative than in states that rely solely
on the direct purchase of drugs. However,
several problems with this variable were
noted. First, some programs rely on state-only
funds to supplement the expenditures,
leading to inconsistencies in data reporting.
Second, enrollment and expenditure reports
exhibited a large and unexplained variation
in per capita HIP costs. Third, and most
importantly, panelists were concerned
that states operating HIP programs not
be penalized by receiving fewer Title
I and II funds. As a result, the panel
agreed that adjustments for per-enrollee
HIP expenditures should be deferred until
more states implement the program and
more consistent data are available.
Medicaid generosity. The
panel spent some time discussing Medicaid
generosity and ways to ensure that states
with more generous Medicaid benefit and
coverage policies would not be penalized
by receiving fewer CARE Act dollars. The
panelists were in agreement that the severity
of need index should not create a disincentive
to expand Medicaid eligibility and enhance
covered services. It was also recognized
that the way in which Medicaid coverage
was incorporated into the model would
affect how certain cost-related variables,
such as poverty, were measured. The panel
agreed to defer this issue until the recommendations
of the Patient Coverage panel were available.
CARE Act Data Reports (CADR)
data. The panel recognized that
many of the variables considered for inclusion
in the severity of need index were reported
on the CADRs. All CARE Act grant recipients
are required to submit a CADR annually
to HRSA. The CADR contains provider-level
summary data on the number of unduplicated
clients served by demographic and clinical
characteristics, and the number of services
used by type of service. For instance,
the CADR contains counts of unduplicated
clients by age categories, gender, race/ethnicity,
income, insurance status, living arrangements,
and risk factor. The CADR also includes
counts of unduplicated HIV-infected clients
newly in care, the number with an AIDS
diagnosis, the number on ARVs, and the
number receiving certain procedures and
screenings. While the CADR provides a
potentially important source of data at
the local level that could be used to
measure severity of needs, inconsistencies
in reporting practices among grantees
make this database unusable in its current
form. In addition, the panelists further
pointed out that the CADRs often exclude
the cost of contracted services or services
not paid for by CARE Act dollars and thus
in general underreport the actual costs
of care. Finally, individuals receiving
care at multiple CARE Act providers are
counted separately in each CADR.
Budget neutrality. As
stated earlier, the panel agreed that,
rather than deriving a national annualized
cost for HIV care, the base rate should
be determined by the appropriated funding
amount divided by the number of qualifying
individuals who need care. Adjustments
would then be made to this per capita
allocated funding amount for such factors
as input prices and client casemix. For
example, grantees treating a disproportionate
share of clients with substance abuse
problems would receive more on average
than those serving patient populations
with fewer comorbidities and/or greater
adherence with both medical appointments
and drug regimens. Similarly, grantees
in areas with more people below the federal
poverty level would receive more per capita
funding than those in areas where more
people have insurance and resources. However,
the per capita allocation adjustments
would have to be budget neutral (i.e.,
total spending under the program could
not exceed the total Title I and II budget
allocations). Therefore, the panelists
noted that per capita allocations to grantees
with a severity of need index above the
national average would be higher than
under the previous case-based system,
while those with a severity of need index
below the national average would receive
less funding than before. Similarly, providers
in high wage markets would presumably
see their per capita funding increase,
while those in low wage markets would
experience a decline in per capita funding
compared to what they received under the
case-based system.
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III. Subgroup Reports
A. Geographic Variables
1. Overview of Key Issues
The first set of variables was intended |